cook partisan voting index by district

cook partisan voting index by district

cook partisan voting index by district

cook partisan voting index by district

cook partisan voting index by district

2023.04.11. 오전 10:12

text-align: center; } A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2008 and 2012 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. .leg-hnt-leadership > div { document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.add('leg-hnt-hide'); These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). [feed] => The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. [4], 2008 Professor of Law, Harvard Law School, Ebersold Chair in Constitutional Law, The Ohio State UniversityView posts , Dean and Sol & Lillian Goldman Professor of Law, Yale Law SchoolView posts , Alfred M. Rankin Professor of Law at Yale Law School (on leave)View posts , Professor of Law, Georgetown University Law CenterView posts , Professor of Law at LMU Loyola Law School, Los AngelesView posts , Bouma Fellow in Law and Professor of Law, University of Iowa College of LawView posts , Professor of Law, The George Washington University Law SchoolView posts , James B. McClatchy Professor of Law, vertical-align: middle; Request the spreadsheet here. margin-right: 12px; [category__and] => Array On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. [author_name] => Cheap Speech book website, Named one of the best books on disinformation by the New York Times, Election LawCases and Materials (7th edition, Carolina Academic Press, 2022) (with Daniel Hays Lowenstein, Daniel P. Tokaji, and Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos), Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy (Yale University Press, 2020), Legislation, Statutory Interpretation, and Election Law: Examples & Explanations (2d ed. In Texas, both congressional and state legislative district boundaries are drawn by the Texas State Legislature. Cook provided the following explanation of a sample PVI in its 2017 PVI summary: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r Array ( [s] => vertical-align: middle; 1052 (2021), Derek T. Muller, Weaponizing the Ballot. "Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook . ( [post_author] => 1 .mw-content-ltr td.votebox-results-cell--text, [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition } else { padding-left: 10px; [17], If the state legislature is unable to approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a backup commission must draw the lines (the backup commission is not involved in congressional redistricting). The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. [primary_table] => [pagename] => James Rodgers defeated James Harris in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. float: right; [post_parent] => This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. The number of swing seats, defined as those between D+5 and R+5, is 82.[4]. Todos los derechos reservados. University of Wisconsin Law SchoolView posts , Vice Dean for Faculty text-align: left !important; Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. float: left; } [embed] => Find and connect with the right journalist, right when you need them. align-items: stretch; table.census-table { NYU School of LawView posts , Kirkland & Ellis Professor of Law, Harvard Law SchoolView posts , Fred W. & Vi Miller Dean and Professor of Law .leg-hnt-leadership { To calculate new 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. [meta_query] => WP_Meta_Query Object ) The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. column-count: auto; } That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. 100% remote. } [posts_per_page] => 10 color: #888; top: 2px; } Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. Calculations are rounded to the nearest whole percent within .5 a percentage point. font-weight: bold; } } .results_table_container { [author__not_in] => Array Connecticut's 2nd District also had a D+3 rating. .leg-hnt-toggle-text { font-style: italic; In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. She defeated Stephen Broden (R) and J. } overflow: hidden; width: 100% !important; [22], Heading into the 2018 elections, based on results from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+29. On November 3, 1992, Eddie Bernice Johnson won election to the United States House. The residents of the 8th district are currently represented by DemocraticCongressmanDon Beyer, elected in November 2014. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. } } font-size: 2em; Source. justify-content: center; With the PVI ratings and the 2020 elections on the horizon, legislators in 29 states have introduced over 100 bills calling for changes to their states redistricting process or for the creation of an independent redistricting commission. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. [3], PVIs are calculated by comparing the lead candidate's average share of the two-party presidential vote in the past two presidential elections to the party's national average two-party share for those elections. position: relative; ( & Mary L. Rev. } Incumbents are bolded and underlined. } width: 100%; [author] => [meta_value] => text-align: center There were no incumbents in this race. [post_date] => 2020-05-08 20:23:35 Your browser has turned off or is blocking Javascript. The Cook PVI tracks the partisan ratings of all 435 congressional districts and all 50 states. ( padding-bottom: 5px; It Should Keep Him on a Short Leash to Protect Democracy, Slate, January 25, 2023, Ive Been Way More Worried About American Democracy Than I Am Right Now, Slate, November 14, 2022, The Courts are the Only Thing Holding Back Total Election Subversion, The Atlantic, November 2, 2022, An Arizona Court Seems to Think Voter Intimidation Isnt Voter Intimidation, NBC News Think, November 1, 2022, The Supreme Court is Headed for a Self-Imposed Voting Caseload Disaster, Slate, October 26, 2022 (with Nat Bach), The Truly Scary Part About the 1.6 Billion Conservative Donation, Slate, August 23, 2022 (with Dahlia Lithwick), What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Slate, July 25, 2022, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear,Slate, June 30, 2022, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump,N.Y. Times, June 24, 2022, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024,Wash. Post, June 8, 2022, The One Group That Can Stop Elon Musk from Unbanning Trump on Twitter,Slate, May 10, 2022, Facebook and Twitter Could Let Trump Back Online. Tabatha Abu El-Haj, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, 118 Colum. She defeated John Davis (L) in the general election. This tool reflects the political balance of power in North Carolina. .results_table { [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. [m] => [1] [2] 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. display: inline-block; .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { display: block; } Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Civitas Partisan Index (CPI) compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. font-weight: 500; display: inline-block; She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. } } At D+16, Vermont is the most Democratic state, though Washington, D.C., is substantially more partisan with a PVI value of D+43.[4]. background-color: #db0000; ) font-size: inherit; .race_header.democratic { The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. .leg-hnt-border-top { of Constitutional Law, Quorum Analytics is not affiliated with, licensed, endorsed, or sponsored by Leidos Innovations Technology or its affiliates. [name] => partisan-voter-index-definition left: 0px; She defeated Fred Wood (R) and Jarrett Woods (L) in the general election. Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Charles Lingerfelt (R), Jarrett Woods (L), and Thom Prentice (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. ( display: inline-block; left: -9999px; The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the . [update_post_meta_cache] => 1 Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. cook partisan voting index by state. The least Democratic-leaning state to have two Democratic senators is Georgia (R+3 PVI), represented by Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. background-color: #003388; } On November 5, 2002, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. flex: 0 0 175px; The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. [suppress_filters] => padding: 2px; Jasmine Crockett defeated James Rodgers, Zachariah Manning, Phil Gray, and Debbie Walker in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 8, 2022. Save time and grow faster with modern, easy-to-use tools. .mw-body #mw-content-text .votebox .race_header h5.votebox-header-election-type { On November 2, 2010, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. text-align: left; In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. All Rights Reserved. The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. [nopaging] => She defeated Ron Bush (R) and Lance Flores (L) in the general election. The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. margin-top: 0px; ) font-size: 12px; Although the House's pro-GOP skew didn't budge much either way as a result of new maps, the number of competitive seats declined. .leg-infobox-left-col { top: -5px; The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. table-layout: fixed; Instead, under FFV, there's a preliminary election open to all candidates and voters, regardless of party affiliation. } A swing district, according to Cook, is defined by a PVI rating ranging from D+5 to R+5.

. This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. } document.getElementById('leg-hnt-content63ffdc0a3871f').classList.remove('leg-hnt-hide'); With a Cook Partisan Voting Indexof D+21, it is the most Democratic district in Virginia, and one of the most Democratic white-majority districts in the South. ", 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, The Republican Electoral College Advantage, Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI). [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. [15] Gov. [4] As of 2022[update], in the House, there are 222 districts more Republican than the national average, and 206 districts more Democratic than the national average. Texas' final congressional redistricting plan was approved by the Texas Legislature and signed by Gov. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; .votebox-results-metadata-p { .leg-infobox-census-source { The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. } For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc. [lazy_load_term_meta] => 1 ) The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. [category_name] => [8], 2000 text-align: center; Tip: Clicking on "PVI" on the table below will sort the list from most Democratic to most Republican districts. [23], FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. The Cook Partisan. The first Black woman and first lesbian to lead the city, the former . z-index:1; } margin-bottom: 5px; But Hes Still a Danger. In short, as electoral realities have changed, the Cook PVI must change with them. font-size: 16px; 61, Anita S. Krishnakumar, Cracking the Whole Code Rule (February 19, 2020). [12], 1992 PVIs are calculated by comparing a district's average Democrat or Republican Party share of the two-party presidential and gubernatorial votes in the past presidential and gubernatorial elections as compared to the states average share of the same.The statewide average in 2012 was approximately 54.57% Democrat to 45.43% Republican.For example, in Washingtons 43rd Legislative District, Democrat candidates won an average 85.85% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (85.85%) against the average statewide share of the same (54.57%), the district voted approximately 31 percentage points more Democrat, or D+31. Franita Tolson and Edward Foley. Our full 2022 Cook PVI report is available for subscribers. [14] On October 13, 2021, the House Redistricting Committee approved an amended version of the congressional map, and both chambers of the legislature approved a finalized version of the map on October 18, 2021. Read More Map [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. Acquire, educate, and activate supporters to reach your goals. The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) won re-election. Increase PAC participation, collect contributions, and file with the FEC. WP_Query Object [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. [meta_table] => ) Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. ( .votebox-scroll-container { ( color: #0645ad; Last edited on 21 February 2023, at 22:36, "The differences between real grassroots and "Astroturf" matter", "There are 119Republican House members who should be VERY nervous today", "The Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", "Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI)", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index&oldid=1140813943. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. Save contact information, engage, and report on interactions all in one place. The County Clerk oversees polling places for all suburban Cook County voters. [11], 1994 Collect donations, increase PAC participation, and file with ease. display: flex; [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. Source1Source2. There were no incumbents in this race. vertical-align: middle !important; flex-direction: column; width: 350px; } [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. border-bottom: 1px solid gray; border-top: 1px solid #aaa; How does redistricting in Texas work? Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. [query] => Array .leg-infobox-flex-box-row { font-size: 0.9em; border-collapse: collapse !important; padding-top: 5px; The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. .votebox-scroll-container { The least Republican-leaning states to have two Republican senators are Florida (R+3 PVI), represented by Marco Rubio and Rick Scott, and North Carolina (R+3 PVI), represented by Ted Budd and Thom Tillis. Get real-time alerts and advocate for regulatory issues that may affect your bottom line. letter-spacing: 0.03em; padding-left: 8px; [tag_slug__and] => Array position: absolute; background-color: #db0000; Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. font-size: small; The link below will take you to maps of polling places and precincts for each of suburban Cook County's thirty townships. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. With a Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) rating of D+3, it is one of Connecticut's least Democratic districts. [ignore_sticky_posts] => } [7], 2002 The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. Apply today! width: 40%; .inner_percentage { box-sizing: border-box; The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the districts voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. ( margin: 0 5px; Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. .votebox-results-cell--check { ) width: 150px; } } In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. border-radius: 50%; [primary_id_column] => [9], 1998 ) overflow-y: hidden; Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. [second] => padding-bottom: 8px; Raise more funds and disburse more strategically with the PAC solution used by more organizations to file with the FEC than any other software. [comments_per_page] => 50 [author__in] => Array This made Texas' 30th the 28th most Democratic district nationally. } [w] => 0 Why Are Republicans Going After Wokeness Instead of Going After Biden? .leg-hnt-section-title { [tag] => } .leg-hnt-district-number { .non_result_row th { A district or state that "performed within half a point of the national average in either direction" is designated as "Even". .race_header.republican { Johnson defeated Barbara Mallory Caraway and Brandon Vance in the Democratic primary on March 1, 2016, while Lingerfelt faced no opposition in the Republican primary.[1][2]. The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of each district and state using presidential elections as a baseline. .votebox-results-cell--number { For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. [post__not_in] => Array padding:7px 8px 8px; July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries.

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